In Barack Obama’s mind, he’d been a shoo-in for the Oval Office a third time except for one thing: a constitutional prohibition against him having more than two full terms.
But a poll by Rasmussen Reports on Friday revealed that on this issue, his perception doesn’t align with reality.
It was during a recent visit to Africa he told an audience he is in his second term and loves his work.
“But under our Constitution, I cannot run again,” he said. “I can’t run again. … I think if I ran I could win.”
However, the survey, taken of 1,000 likely voters on Thursday and Friday, said he’d have to figure out how to win with just 30 percent of the vote.
“Most Democrats (57 percent) would vote to give Obama a third term. Ninety-three percent (93 percent) of Republicans, 68 percent of voters not affiliated with either major party – and 32 percent of Democrats – would not,” the poll report said.
The report noted Obama defeated Republican John McCain 53 percent to 46 percent in 2008, and Mitt Romney with 51 percent of the vote in 2012.
The poll asked “An amendment to the U.S. Constitution prohibits presidential candidates from being elected to more than two four-year terms. Should this amendment be changed so that presidents can serve more than two terms?”
It also asked, “If Barack Obama ran for a third term as president, would you vote for him?”
The results have a sampling error rate of plus or minus three percentage points, with a 95 percent level of confidence.
Rasmussen said, “Nineteen percent of all voters believe that amendment should be changed so presidents can serve longer. Seventy-eight percent oppose such a change.
“Interestingly, only 32 percent of Democrats support changing this amendment. Ninety percent of GOP voters and 82 percent of unaffiliateds are opposed.”
The survey noted that the president’s job approval rating has been in the negative mid-teens recently – as it has been for most of his tenure.
“Majorities of voters across most demographic groups oppose changing the Constitution to allow presidents to serve more than two terms and would not vote for Obama if he ran for a third term. The older the voter, the less likely he or she is to say they would vote for Obama. Most black voters (54 percent), however, would change the constitutional amendment. Just 10 percent of whites and 38 percent of other minority voters agree.”
Rasmussen said, “Sixty-nine percent of black voters would vote to elect Obama to a third term, compared to 22 percent of white voters and 39 percent of other minority voters.”
Also, “Eighty-nine percent of all voters want to continue using the Constitution as the fundamental law of the United States, and 59 percent say legislators should leave it alone. Just over half (51 percent) of voters think Obama has been less faithful to the U.S. Constitution than his predecessors in the Oval Office,” Rasmussen reported.